Tepatitlán FC vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TEM
1 - 1
ZAM
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
NEX
0 - 2
TEM
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
TEM
3 - 5
IRA
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
IRA
1 - 1
TEM
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SOL
3 - 2
TEM
26%
24%
50%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAZ
4 - 1
CAC
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ZAM
1 - 2
CAZ
59%
23%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ZAC
4 - 1
CAZ
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAZ
0 - 1
NEX
52%
23%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |