Tempête vs FICA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
29.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tempête
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
TEM
40%
31%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TEM
2 - 0
AME
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
TEM
0 - 0
CAV
59%
26%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
TEM
41%
32%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TEM
2 - 0
VIO
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FICA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
FIC
1 - 0
AIG
52%
27%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FIC
0 - 0
VAL
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
DON
2 - 0
FIC
37%
29%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
FIC
3 - 2
VIC
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AIG
2 - 1
FIC
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |