Toledo EC vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
70%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 2
ATP
11%
21%
68%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
JMA
0 - 0
TCW
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 1
TCW
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 0
GRE
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TCW
3 - 0
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
COT
3 - 1
GRE
74%
18%
8%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ATP
0 - 2
COT
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JMA
1 - 0
COT
15%
23%
62%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
COT
3 - 0
AVA
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COT
3 - 0
PAR
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |