Tartu Welco II vs Ajax Lasnamäe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Welco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2020 |
JKN
3 - 0
TJK
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
TIN
6 - 1
TJK
90%
7%
3%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TJK
4 - 0
TFS
46%
21%
33%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
JKN
3 - 1
TJK
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TJK
0 - 2
AJA
72%
15%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax Lasnamäe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 2
NOO
55%
19%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
AJA
3 - 0
TMK
47%
20%
33%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
JWO
2 - 7
AJA
22%
18%
60%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AJA
8 - 0
KJK
33%
21%
46%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +4 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TJK
0 - 2
AJA
72%
15%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |