Targówek vs Start Otwock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
62.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Targówek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
PEL
3 - 0
TAR
81%
14%
6%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
TAR
0 - 3
LWA
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SWI
3 - 0
TAR
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TAR
0 - 3
WIE
32%
24%
45%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
LTM
3 - 0
TAR
65%
21%
15%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
SOT
2 - 3
LWA
38%
23%
38%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
WIE
2 - 2
SOT
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SOT
0 - 2
OKL
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
LKS
1 - 0
SOT
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
SOT
2 - 1
UWA
27%
26%
47%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |