Taranto vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
TAR
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
0 - 1
LEC
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
1 - 0
MES
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
REG
2 - 2
TAR
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 3
FRA
43%
28%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 0
MES
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 2
MON
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
USV
1 - 1
ASM
39%
29%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 0
REG
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 1
ASM
72%
17%
10%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |