Thailand vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.1%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.7%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.9%
3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
THA
3 - 3
TKM
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
IDN
5 - 4
THA
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1998 |
THA
0 - 3
VIE
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1998 |
THA
3 - 2
IDN
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
THA
3 - 1
PHL
82%
12%
6%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1997 |
NPL
1 - 3
LKA
51%
22%
26%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1997 |
NPL
0 - 2
PAK
54%
21%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 1997 |
MAC
2 - 1
NPL
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1997 |
JPN
3 - 0
NPL
95%
4%
1%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1997 |
NPL
0 - 6
OMA
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |