Thailand vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
VIE
1 - 2
THA
23%
22%
55%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
THA
3 - 1
SGP
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CHN
1 - 1
THA
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
THA
0 - 3
KOR
15%
23%
63%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 1
THA
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MAS
1 - 0
LBN
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
LBN
1 - 0
TJK
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
LBN
4 - 0
BGD
79%
14%
6%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
PLE
0 - 0
LBN
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
LBN
0 - 5
AUS
9%
20%
71%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |