Thailand vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
KWT
3 - 1
THA
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
THA
0 - 3
IRN
20%
23%
58%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
IRN
2 - 1
THA
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
THA
1 - 0
BHR
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
CHN
1 - 5
THA
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
LBN
3 - 1
PAK
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
LBN
0 - 2
KWT
15%
22%
64%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
JOR
0 - 0
LBN
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
LBN
1 - 4
IRN
10%
19%
71%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
KWT
0 - 0
LBN
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |