Thailand vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
JOR
0 - 0
THA
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
VIE
1 - 1
THA
18%
19%
63%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2008 |
THA
1 - 2
VIE
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
THA
2 - 1
IDN
80%
12%
7%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2008 |
IDN
0 - 1
THA
16%
19%
66%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
VIE
3 - 1
LBN
53%
22%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
LBN
1 - 2
SGP
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
UZB
3 - 0
LBN
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
LBN
1 - 2
KSA
18%
26%
56%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2008 |
KSA
4 - 1
LBN
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |