Thailand vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
THA
1 - 3
KOR
18%
21%
61%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
THA
1 - 1
JPN
28%
26%
47%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1996 |
IRQ
4 - 1
THA
66%
22%
13%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
THA
1 - 3
IRN
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1996 |
KSA
6 - 0
THA
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
HKG
0 - 2
KOR
12%
18%
70%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1997 |
HKG
1 - 3
YUG
11%
21%
68%
|
58 | 93 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
3 - 1
CHN
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +3 |
| 23 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
2 - 3
KOR
12%
21%
67%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
HKG
0 - 0
CHN
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +1 |