French Polynesia vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
53.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
French Polynesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
0 - 2
NCL
28%
23%
49%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
1 - 0
TAH
77%
16%
7%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
SOL
3 - 1
TAH
36%
25%
38%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
FIJ
1 - 1
TAH
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
VAN
2 - 0
TAH
38%
24%
39%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
0 - 2
NCL
28%
23%
49%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
7 - 1
NCL
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
PNG
1 - 0
NCL
17%
22%
62%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
NCL
1 - 2
FIJ
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
FIJ
3 - 0
NCL
26%
22%
53%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |