Taffs Well vs Ely Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-99%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
MAE
1 - 3
TAF
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
GWY
0 - 4
TAF
16%
21%
62%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
TAF
6 - 1
BFC
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
NFC
1 - 4
TAF
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
CAR
1 - 4
TAF
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Ely Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ERA
2 - 2
DIN
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 1
ERA
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
BRI
3 - 3
ERA
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ERA
0 - 2
BAR
22%
22%
55%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
ERA
2 - 3
SKE
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |