Tacuary vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
TAC
0 - 0
GUA
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 1
TAC
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TAC
3 - 2
LQE
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 2
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
69%
21%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 2
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAC
25%
27%
49%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |