Tacuary vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
43.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
TAC
62%
23%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 1
RÑU
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 2
DAN
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
CAU
4 - 0
TAC
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
TAC
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIB
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
LQE
80%
15%
6%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
4 - 1
ALI
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
LIB
4 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |