Tacuary vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
42.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 2
TAC
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 2
CCP
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 1
TAC
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
12O
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
LAN
0 - 2
LIB
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LIB
2 - 1
RÑU
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
LIB
3 - 1
TAC
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
41%
28%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 0
LIB
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |