Tacuary vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
68.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
TAC
2 - 3
RES
34%
30%
36%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 4
TAC
47%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TAC
0 - 0
FER
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RPA
0 - 0
TAC
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
TAC
0 - 2
DEP
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
IND
57%
23%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CCP
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
DEP
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |