Tacuarembó FC vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
JUN
2 - 1
TAC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
3 - 2
TAC
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HFC
0 - 2
TAC
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CSM
3 - 0
TAC
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TAC
0 - 2
CEN
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
TOR
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
CEL
30%
27%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CEL
4 - 1
ROC
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
4 - 3
ORI
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 2
CAN
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |