Swit Nowy Dwor vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
8 - 1
SWI
45%
26%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 1
PSI
66%
20%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
PGM
1 - 2
SWI
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SWI
2 - 0
PEL
22%
26%
53%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
TAR
1 - 4
SWI
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
UWA
1 - 1
LTM
64%
21%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
POL
3 - 1
UWA
81%
14%
5%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
UWA
1 - 0
WSI
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
0 - 0
UWA
30%
28%
42%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
UWA
0 - 1
RAD
36%
26%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |