SVW Gorinchem vs Oranje Wit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
78.9%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
9%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
12º
13º
28
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
93% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 26 |
11º
|
93% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SVW Gorinchem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
DZC
7 - 1
SVW
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SVW
4 - 6
NIV
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SVL
4 - 0
SVW
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SVW
1 - 4
DUN
12%
17%
72%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SLI
1 - 0
SVW
86%
9%
5%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Oranje Wit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 4
LRC
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
DTS
5 - 1
ORA
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 3
VVS
16%
18%
65%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DZC
3 - 0
ORA
48%
22%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 0
NIV
62%
18%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |