Victory Boys vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Victory Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 0
VIC
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
VIC
0 - 2
HUB
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
SVV
2 - 3
VIC
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
VIC
3 - 2
SIT
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NUN
1 - 0
VIC
27%
24%
50%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
SUB
1 - 2
UND
28%
25%
48%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2007 |
SUB
0 - 2
SIT
29%
25%
47%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
BAR
3 - 0
SUB
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2007 |
SUB
3 - 0
COL
59%
21%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |