Penk vs Welzenegg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
WOL
2 - 1
SVP
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BLE
4 - 0
SVP
63%
20%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
SVP
3 - 0
RAP
26%
24%
51%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
VOL
3 - 2
SVP
70%
18%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
SVP
2 - 1
LEN
20%
23%
57%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Welzenegg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
WEL
0 - 3
RAP
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
VOL
2 - 0
WEL
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
WEL
0 - 2
LEN
31%
25%
44%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TRE
2 - 0
WEL
68%
19%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
WEL
0 - 2
UMA
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |