SV 09 Arnstadt vs Heiligenstadt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
69%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV 09 Arnstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SGS
0 - 2
SVA
75%
14%
11%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
SVA
1 - 0
SON
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heiligenstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 1
VME
90%
8%
3%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
FSM
0 - 4
SCH
74%
15%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
FSO
2 - 4
SCH
11%
16%
73%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 2
MSW
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
FCT
5 - 0
SCH
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |