SV 09 Arnstadt vs FC Thuringen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
48.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV 09 Arnstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
SVE
1 - 2
SVA
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SVA
0 - 2
SCH
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 0
SVA
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SVA
2 - 1
SCW
37%
22%
40%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MSW
4 - 2
SVA
72%
16%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Thuringen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2019 |
FCT
2 - 1
VME
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SCH
2 - 3
FCT
43%
23%
35%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FCT
4 - 2
SGS
76%
14%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
SON
1 - 0
FCT
51%
21%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
FCT
1 - 1
BLA
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |