Surnadal vs Strømsgodset II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
6.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.1%
76%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.8%
3-5
1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
6.4%
2-5
2.4%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
4%
2-6
1.3%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
-5
6.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
3%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
14º
11º
40
2º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surnadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
ROS
3 - 1
SUR
76%
13%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SUR
5 - 1
ORK
23%
19%
59%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SUR
3 - 4
LIL
13%
15%
72%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
SUR
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SUR
0 - 2
RFK
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Strømsgodset II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
STR
4 - 2
ORK
87%
8%
5%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 3
STR
7%
11%
82%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STR
2 - 3
RFK
46%
22%
33%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 2
STR
56%
20%
24%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STR
6 - 0
BYA
52%
20%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |