Surnadal vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.7%
72.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
2.1%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
14º
11º
38
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Surnadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
SUR
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SUR
0 - 2
RFK
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 4
SUR
44%
21%
35%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUR
2 - 5
SKT
19%
20%
61%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BYA
1 - 1
SUR
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
ORK
66%
17%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 3
STA
54%
19%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RFK
4 - 0
LIL
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
6 - 0
MOS
90%
7%
3%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VER
0 - 4
LIL
24%
20%
56%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +2 |