Sumgayit vs Turan-T analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
10º
8º
39
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ZIR
0 - 0
SUM
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 2
QAR
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SFK
3 - 0
SUM
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
SUM
5 - 0
SEB
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 2
SUM
61%
22%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Turan-T
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 1
TUR
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 2
FKQ
13%
22%
65%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 0
ZIK
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
SFK
0 - 6
TUR
26%
24%
51%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
TUR
4 - 2
FFK
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |