Sumgayit vs FC Kapaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
9º
8º
32
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FHV
0 - 0
SUM
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SUM
1 - 2
FHV
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ADA
2 - 2
SUM
81%
12%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 1
SUM
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SUM
1 - 0
FKQ
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
FCK
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 1
ZIR
34%
30%
36%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FKN
5 - 1
FCK
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 1
SUM
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 1
FCK
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |