Šumadija Aranđelovac vs Mačva 1929 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
66.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Šumadija Aranđelovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
BUA
4 - 2
SAR
89%
8%
3%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
JED
3 - 0
SAR
79%
15%
6%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SAR
2 - 1
ZEL
21%
24%
55%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
SME
5 - 0
SAR
85%
12%
4%
|
22 | 64 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
SAR
2 - 1
BRA
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mačva 1929
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 1
ZEL
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SME
3 - 1
MAC
81%
13%
5%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 0
BRA
89%
8%
3%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
TAK
2 - 1
MAC
43%
26%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
MAC
0 - 1
TUT
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |