Süderelbe vs TuRa Harksheide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18%
22.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
8º
18º
10º
35
6º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NIE
0 - 0
SUD
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 3
HEB
54%
20%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 0
SUD
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
SUD
3 - 1
WIL
57%
18%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
4 - 1
SUD
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
TuRa Harksheide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
THA
1 - 1
SAS
14%
20%
66%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
EIM
2 - 1
THA
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
THA
2 - 2
BUC
26%
21%
53%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VOW
1 - 3
THA
75%
13%
12%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
THA
3 - 1
ATB
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |