Sudáfrica U20 vs Brasil U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
74.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudáfrica U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 0
NGA
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
GHA
13%
18%
69%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
RSA
1 - 3
ARG
10%
18%
72%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
RSA
1 - 5
ZAM
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
RSA
0 - 1
EGY
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Brasil U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 1
JPN
89%
8%
3%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
KEN
92%
6%
2%
|
86 | 43 | 43 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
CMR
92%
6%
2%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
3 - 2
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |