Sud América vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 0
SUD
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 2
LFC
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ETS
2 - 1
SUD
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SUD
3 - 1
RAC
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
SUD
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 3
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
JUN
4 - 3
MWA
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MWA
0 - 2
FEN
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
MWA
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
CER
1 - 2
MWA
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |