Sud América vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 3
SUD
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SUD
0 - 2
CER
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SUD
2 - 2
RAC
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LFC
1 - 1
SUD
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 2
SUD
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CSY
2 - 2
FEN
44%
27%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FEN
4 - 1
DAN
46%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MWA
4 - 2
FEN
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PLA
2 - 0
FEN
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 2
SUD
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |