Sud América vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
35.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
NAC
4 - 3
SUD
75%
17%
8%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 2
MWA
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 0
SUD
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 2
LFC
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ETS
2 - 1
SUD
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
BOS
0 - 3
DAN
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
DAN
3 - 0
SPO
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
DAN
0 - 0
LFC
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ETS
2 - 4
DAN
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DAN
1 - 0
RAC
54%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |