Sud América vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 2
SUD
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SUD
0 - 6
CER
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SUD
1 - 2
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
JUN
0 - 0
SUD
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SUD
0 - 2
FEN
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
DAN
0 - 2
DEF
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 0
DAN
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DAN
4 - 4
FEN
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
DAN
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
DAN
0 - 0
MWA
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |