Sud América vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SUD
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SUD
2 - 2
RAC
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SUD
2 - 1
RIV
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 0
SUD
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SUD
2 - 0
DEF
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
DAN
0 - 2
FEN
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DEF
3 - 2
DAN
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DAN
3 - 3
ETS
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CER
1 - 0
DAN
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DAN
2 - 1
JUV
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |