SUBT vs UNDEBA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SUB
1 - 6
DOM
45%
23%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
SUB
1 - 1
HUB
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
SVV
1 - 0
SUB
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 0
SUB
52%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
HOL
3 - 0
SUB
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
HUB
2 - 3
UND
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
DOM
2 - 1
UND
55%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2012 |
UND
1 - 1
SVV
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
VIC
2 - 2
UND
47%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2012 |
UND
1 - 1
SUB
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |