SUBT vs Victory Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
BAR
3 - 0
SUB
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
HOL
0 - 0
SUB
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 1
SUB
51%
24%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
SUB
1 - 2
RBV
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
SUB
2 - 0
CHM
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Victory Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 1
SVV
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SIT
3 - 1
VIC
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 0
RBV
44%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
VIC
0 - 1
SUB
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
CHM
1 - 1
VIC
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |