SUBT vs Real Buena Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
SUB
2 - 0
CHM
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 3
COL
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2009 |
SIT
1 - 0
SUB
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
SUB
0 - 1
SVV
45%
25%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
DOM
1 - 0
SUB
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Buena Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2009 |
RBV
0 - 3
SIT
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
VIC
3 - 3
RBV
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
HUB
4 - 0
RBV
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
RBV
0 - 0
HOL
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
RBV
1 - 0
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |