SUBT vs Centro Barber analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SIT
4 - 0
SUB
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
SUB
1 - 1
HOL
59%
22%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
SUB
2 - 2
UND
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIC
2 - 1
SUB
48%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
SUB
0 - 2
DOM
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Centro Barber
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
DOM
3 - 2
BAR
61%
22%
18%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 2
VIC
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SVV
1 - 1
BAR
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 1
BAR
54%
24%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
SIT
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |