Swaziland vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
71.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
ZIM
4 - 0
SWZ
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
SWZ
1 - 1
ZIM
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
SWZ
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
SWZ
0 - 0
NGA
14%
25%
61%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SWZ
2 - 1
DJI
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MWI
1 - 2
GUI
18%
23%
59%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 0
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 2
CIV
24%
25%
51%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
COD
1 - 1
GUI
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 0
GUI
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |