Swaziland vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
72.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
16.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.6%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swaziland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
EGY
4 - 1
SWZ
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SWZ
0 - 2
TUN
9%
19%
71%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
SWZ
0 - 2
BOT
32%
29%
39%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
LSO
1 - 0
SWZ
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2018 |
KEN
0 - 1
SWZ
48%
25%
26%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
EGY
4 - 1
SWZ
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
EGY
6 - 0
NIG
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
KSA
2 - 1
EGY
29%
26%
46%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2018 |
RUS
3 - 1
EGY
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
EGY
0 - 1
URU
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |