Stupnik vs Segesta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stupnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
VRA
2 - 1
STU
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
STU
0 - 3
SAM
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
STU
2 - 1
STR
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
NGM
0 - 1
STU
20%
23%
58%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
STU
3 - 0
TRE
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Segesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SEG
7 - 0
STR
87%
10%
4%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DUG
3 - 0
SEG
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -3 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 1
SEG
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SEG
5 - 0
NTR
77%
15%
9%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TRN
5 - 2
SEG
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |