Strømsgodset II vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
10º
5º
38
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strømsgodset II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SUR
6 - 2
STR
11%
13%
76%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
STR
4 - 2
ORK
87%
8%
5%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 3
STR
7%
11%
82%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
STR
2 - 3
RFK
46%
22%
33%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NAR
5 - 2
STR
56%
20%
24%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 2
LIL
11%
14%
75%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 1
SKT
49%
20%
31%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TIL
2 - 2
LIL
53%
21%
27%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 4
NAR
25%
23%
53%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SUR
3 - 4
LIL
13%
15%
72%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |