Start Otwock vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 1
SOT
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SOT
4 - 0
PSI
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
PGM
6 - 4
SOT
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 0
SOT
67%
20%
14%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SOT
0 - 1
SWI
53%
23%
24%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
UWA
2 - 0
LWA
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
WIE
1 - 1
UWA
23%
24%
53%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
UWA
3 - 1
OKL
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
UWA
2 - 0
LKS
56%
24%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
TAR
0 - 7
UWA
27%
25%
49%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |