Start Otwock vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
77.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.2%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2015 |
NPO
1 - 2
SOT
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
UWA
1 - 1
SOT
70%
19%
11%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SOT
3 - 0
WDZ
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
WSI
5 - 1
SOT
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SOT
2 - 3
PEL
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
POL
4 - 0
PGM
85%
11%
4%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
POL
2 - 1
LKS
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PBI
1 - 0
POL
10%
17%
73%
|
60 | 27 | 33 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
POL
4 - 0
OPR
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 23 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
1 - 0
POL
8%
19%
73%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |