Stabæk vs Aalesunds FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
14º
11º
18
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 65 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 50 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 50 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 48 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 44 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 43 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 42 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 41 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 40 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 39 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 38 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 38 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 38 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 37 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
44.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 20 |
16º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 4.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
20% | 35.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 56% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
STB
1 - 2
RAN
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
STB
2 - 2
KRI
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
IKS
5 - 1
STB
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
STB
1 - 3
EGE
55%
23%
23%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ELP
2 - 2
STB
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aalesunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
SKE
1 - 1
ELP
24%
23%
53%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2025 |
ELP
0 - 1
VKG
18%
21%
61%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ELP
1 - 0
ODD
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
KON
3 - 0
ELP
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
ELP
2 - 2
STB
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |