Saint-Pauloise vs Marsouins analysis


31	ELO	32
-8.3%	Tilt	-10.6%
9645º	General ELO ranking	12082º
4º	Country ELO ranking	12º
ELO win probability

49.2%

Saint-Pauloise

24.4%

Draw

26.4%

Marsouins

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

49.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%

24.4%

Draw

0-0

6.1%

1-1

11.5%

2-2

5.5%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

24.4%

26.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+53%

-42%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Saint-Pauloise

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
18 Sep. 2011	PIE 4 - 1 PAU 50% 25% 25%	32	32
11 Sep. 2011	MAR 0 - 0 PAU 51% 24% 25%	32	32
03 Sep. 2011	PAU 2 - 0 FCA 50% 24% 26%	32	32
27 Aug. 2011	PET 0 - 1 PAU 47% 25% 28%	32	32
25 Jun. 2011	PAU 1 - 0 SAI 50% 24% 26%	32	32

Matches

Marsouins

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
18 Sep. 2011	MAR 0 - 0 FCA 47% 25% 28%	32	32
10 Sep. 2011	SAI 2 - 0 MAR 49% 25% 27%	32	32
03 Sep. 2011	MAR 1 - 1 ASP 46% 25% 29%	32	32
27 Aug. 2011	TAM 1 - 0 MAR 54% 23% 23%	32	32
25 Jun. 2011	MAR 1 - 1 SDF 45% 25% 31%	32	32