Saint-Pauloise vs AS Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+165%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Pauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CAP
0 - 4
PAU
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
PAU
3 - 2
PIE
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SDF
1 - 4
PAU
48%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PAU
2 - 0
SAI
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
PET
1 - 2
PAU
46%
25%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AS Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 0
PET
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ASP
1 - 0
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
4 - 0
SRS
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
EXC
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
TAM
50%
26%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |