FC St Pauli vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
WUR
1 - 1
STP
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SGF
2 - 1
STP
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
STP
0 - 3
F95
15%
20%
65%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
STP
2 - 2
ERZ
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
EBT
2 - 1
STP
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
HOL
1 - 2
OSN
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SVS
0 - 2
HOL
20%
22%
58%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
HOL
1 - 0
FCN
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SSV
2 - 3
HOL
31%
24%
46%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
HOL
3 - 1
BOC
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |